Baccarat is a game of streaks. Whether it is several Bank hands in a row or many Player hands, money is made by pressing the advantage at this time. The best and simplest method to take advantage of these streaks is called “Following the Shoe”. This simply means that you bet on the side that won the previous hand. If the Bank won the last time, you bet the Bank. Using this baccarat strategy, you will never miss a streak no matter which side is doing the winning. The major drawback is that when the winners occur in an alternating, back-and-forth pattern, called a “chop”, every hand is a loser.
The baccarat strategy used to defuse that problem is called the “Every Other” method, where instead of betting the winner of the previous hand, you bet the hand that won two hands ago. For instance, if the shoe started with a Bank winner and then a Player, on the third hand you would bet the Bank, since it won two hands ago. The fourth hand, you would bet the Player, for the same reason. Using the “Every Other” baccarat strategy enables you to avoid the chop while taking advantage of the streaks inherent in baccarat. Of course, an extended period of two wins in a row by each side will rapidly deplete even a high-roller’s bankroll.
As with every system, money management is an important consideration. With the “Follow the Shoe” and “Every Other’ system, the player bets the minimum unit and presses the bet when they win. But baccarat is not for the faint hearted. The following systems are not recommended for those with a limited bankroll, because they force a player to “chase the money” – that is, to double up after a losing bet to re-capture their losses. But these are some of the reasons high roller like baccarat.
If you want to have some fun and play like these whales and try to catch a streak, here is the procedure.
You will need to establish a bankroll of 20 to 50 units – preferably $5 each. Keep in mind that baccarat is usually a high-limit game, so you may have to risk 20 units of $25 each or $500.
Make sure you get a scorecard when you enter the game, and chart each decision using the standard notation of P for player and B for bank.
Only bet single units, or $25 a hand, for the first 20 to 30 hands of the shoe.
Be very vigilant about watching how the game unfolds during these first 20 to 30 hands. You want to be on the lookout for obvious trends in the game. For example, is the shoe “choppy,” with P and B alternating back and forth for many hands in succession; that is P, B, P, B, P, B, P, B? Is the game exhibiting short-term streaks like P, P, P, B, P, B, B, B? Or perhaps you detect another choppy trend like B, B, P, P, B, B, P, P, B, P.
Baccarat players look for trends like these and then bet for them to either continue or reverse. As an example when the first 30 hands are choppy, a player might bet for streaks to start. What this mean is that the player continues betting whatever the last hand was. If it was P, he bets P; if B, he bets B. The player might even start increasing his bet on this next hand, in anticipation of a favorable streak. On the other hand, if the player notices that the shoe is streaky in these first 30 hands or so, he might bet for these streaks to reverse. You have to decide which way to go when you notice a trend. Do you go with it or against it? Unfortunately because we’re gambling, there is no way of predicting what will happen.
If you’re in a streaky shoe, with both P and B participating on short-term streaks, play these streaks to continue with a group of three. This simply means you let your bet ride twice; you are going for a win of three hands in succession. You bet $25 and win. Let it ride and bet the $50. If you win again, let it ride once more and bet the $100. On any loss or after winning the three hands in a row, revert to a one-unit bet. To start your group of three, you could either bet whichever won on the last hand (if P wins, start with P), or go the other way (if P wins, start with B). You just need to be consistent.
If you happen to be in a choppy shoe, betting on whichever side won the last hand will not win three more hands in succession. If P won, bet $25 on B. If you lose as P wins again, bet $50 on B; if P wins again, go for it and bet $100 on B. If you lose all three, you’ve lost $175. At this point it is probably time to withdraw from the game and sit out a few hands or wait for a new shoe.Some players have the belief that if P is dominant in the first 30 hands, winning maybe 20 or more hands, that things will even out with B dominating the next 30 hands of the shoe. (you should note that 30 hands represents about half a shoe.) If you wish to use this idea, I recommend the conservative approach of using flat-betting the last half of the shoe on whichever side is due to come back and even out.
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